What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Firstly, we’ll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. However, after investigating Yoshitsu (NASDAQ:TKLF), we don’t think it’s current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
Just to clarify if you’re unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for Yoshitsu, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets – Current Liabilities)
0.093 = US$6.4m ÷ (US$123m – US$54m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2022).
Therefore, Yoshitsu has an ROCE of 9.3%. In absolute terms, that’s a low return and it also under-performs the Specialty Retail industry average of 17%.
See our latest analysis for Yoshitsu
Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for Yoshitsu’s ROCE against it’s prior returns. If you’re interested in investigating Yoshitsu’s past further, check out this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Are Returns Trending?
In terms of Yoshitsu’s historical ROCE movements, the trend isn’t fantastic. Over the last three years, returns on capital have decreased to 9.3% from 39% three years ago. Meanwhile, the business is utilizing more capital but this hasn’t moved the needle much in terms of sales in the past 12 months, so this could reflect longer term investments. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.
On a side note, Yoshitsu has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 44% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it’s own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE. Either way, they’re still at a pretty high level, so we’d like to see them fall further if possible.
In Conclusion…
Bringing it all together, while we’re somewhat encouraged by Yoshitsu’s reinvestment in its own business, we’re aware that returns are shrinking. It seems that investors have little hope of these trends getting any better and that may have partly contributed to the stock collapsing 96% in the last year. On the whole, we aren’t too inspired by the underlying trends and we think there may be better chances of finding a multi-bagger elsewhere.
If you want to know some of the risks facing Yoshitsu we’ve found 4 warning signs (2 are a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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